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[Latent Space] Causal Models Need Causal Data — Xaira's X-Cell for drug discovery

What's this about?

On Latent Space, Xaira researchers Bo Wang and Ci Chu explain why their 3.1-billion-parameter "cell model" for drug discovery hit an information ceiling: test performance stopped improving after 1.5B parameters because the *dataset* ran out of information — not the model out of capacity.

What exactly is a "foundation model for cells"?

Like a language model trained on text, a cell model is trained on huge amounts of biological measurement data to learn how cells behave, aiming to predict how they'll respond to a drug. The episode's argument: unlike text, biology's data is scarce and often lacks *causal* signal, so scaling parameters alone stops helping — you need better data, not a bigger model.

Why does it matter?

It's a pointed counter to "just scale it" in biology: the binding constraint for bio foundation models is the information content of the data, which reshapes where drug-discovery AI money and effort should go.

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